Auburn vs Mississippi 10/13/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Auburn winning 43% of simulations, and Mississippi 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Auburn commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 53% when they take care of the ball. Mississippi wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Onterio McCalebb is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Jeff Scott is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MISS -3

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